As reported here, the latest Rasmussen poll shows Senator "Can't-do-well" losing ground to challenger Mike McGavik. The previous Rasmussen poll taken in January, showed "Can't-do-well" held a 51 to 36 lead, while the current poll shows that her lead has dwindled to 44 to 40 (with a margin for error at plus/minus 4.5 points).
In the article, the erosion is attributed to her stance on the Iraq war (voted for), and that she voted against blocking the nomination of Samuel Alito to the Supreme Court, both of which are anathema to the party extremists, but what I think has eroded her lead is the fact that she really has no coherent message, while McGavik has been putting out a very coherent message of effective change that resonates with the electorate.
Of course, the poll was limited in scope, with only 500 people responding, which hardly constitutes a consensus among the total electorate, and I don't particularly ascribe to poll results being very accurate barometers of how people really feel about issues or candidates, but I believe that this poll at least gives a fairly accurate indication that the Washington voters desire change.
We'll see just how accurate this poll really was, come November.
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