Analysts downplay Iranian nuclear goals

As reported here, certain analysts are downplaying recent goals stated by the Iranians, after they had linked 164 centrifuges to enrich uranium, saying that it would take the Iranians at least until 2015 to 2020 to be able to produce enough enriched uranium to produce nuclear weapons.

That's what analysts said about the old Soviet Union, as well - that it would take years for them to develop a bomb - and everyone was taken by surprise when the Soviets tested their first atomic weapon in a much shorter time than was estimated. It would be disastrous if the same mistake of underestimating the abilities and desires of the Iranians were made, as was made in regards to the Soviet Union 50 years ago.